• 不确定因素增多 全球经济前景偏冷

    观点 > | Time Weekly - 2019-01-13 14:41:37 来源:时代周报
  • [摘要] 三d基本走势图30期世行对2020年中国经济增长前景给出了悲观预期,预测2020年的增速为5.9%。自1990年以来中国年GDP增速没有跌破6.0%。

    陶短房 财经专栏作家

    BEIMEISHIJIAN1YUE9RI,SHIJIEYINXINGFABULE2020NIAN1YUEQI《QUANQIUJINGJIZHANWANG》,DUI2020NIANQUANQIUJINGJIQIANJINGZUOCHULEPIANLENGDEYUCE。

    三d基本走势图30期GENJUZHEIFENYUCE,2020NIANQUANQIUSUOYOUFADAJINGJITIDEZENGZHANGLVJIANGWEI1.4%,2019NIANWEI1.6%,QIZHONGMEIGUOZENGSUWEI1.8%(2019NIANWEI2.3%),OUMENGWEI1%(2019NIANWEI1.1%),RIBENWEI0.7%(2019NIANWEI1.1%);XINXINGSHICHANGZENGZHANGLVZEJIANGLVEWEITISHENGZHI4.1%,DANQIZHONGYUE90%DETISHENGJIANGYOUAGENTING、BAXI、YINDU、YILANG、MOXIGE、ELUOSI、SHATEHETUERQIDENG“8XIAOQIANG”GONGXIAN。

    ZHIDEGUANZHUDESHI,SHIXINGDUI2020NIANZHONGGUOJINGJIZENGZHANGQIANJINGJICHULEBEIGUANYUQI,YUCE2020NIANDEZENGSUWEI5.9%。ZI1990NIANYILAIZHONGGUONIANGDPZENGSUMEIYOUDIEPO6.0%。

    三d基本走势图30期SHIXINGDEZHEIFENJINGJIZHANWANG,JIAOZHUBANNIANQIANDUIGEJINGJITI2020NIANDUZENGZHANGYUCEPUBIANXIADIAOLE0.1‒0.2GEBAIFENDIAN,LIYOUZEWUHUABAMEN,RUDEGUOSHI“MAOYIJIUFEN、QICHECHAIYOUFADONGJISHIJIANYINGXIANG”,YINGGUOSHI“TUOOUBUQUEDINGYINSU”,RIBENSHI“QUANQIUJINGJIXINGSHIEHUADAOZHIRIBENCHUKOUSHICHANGSHOUZHAI”,ERCHUSHANGSHU“8XIAOQIANG”WAIQITAXINXINGJINGJITIZENGSUBUBEIKANHAODEYUANYIN,ZESHI“DAHUANJINGBUJINGQIHEZHENGCE、ZHENGZHISHANGMIANLINZHONGZHONGKUNNAN”。

    SHIXINGDUIZHONGMEIMAOYIDACHENGTUOXIEDEQIANJINGSHIZHONGSHIJINSHENLEGUANDE,CICIZEGENJUXIANGGUANXINXIJINYIBURENDING“XIEYIDACHENGYOUWANG”,DANRENWEI“MAOYIZHANWEIXIANHEBUQUEDINGYINSURENGRANCUNZAI”,TAYEYINCIKANDIZHONGGUOJINGJIZENGZHANGQIANJING。

    DUIZHEICISHIXINGQUANQIUJINGJIQIANJINGYUQI,YIJITAZUOCHUSHANGSHUYUQIDELIYOUHESILU,YINGRUHEKANDAI?

    SHOUXIAN,ZHONGMEIMAOYIXIEDINGQUANMIANDACHENGDEXIWANGDEQUEDAZENG,DANDACHENGHUODACHENGHOUZAISHENGBIANSHUDEGAILV,ZAI2020NIAN“MEIGUODAXUANNIAN”DETESHUBEIJING,YIJIMEIGUOZONGTONGTELANGPU“BUZHANBIANYISUISHIHUIYUE”DEGEXINGHEXINYUDU“JIACHI”XIA,DEQUECUNZAIJIDAFENGXIANHEBIANSHU。BUJINRUCI,JIBIANZHONGMEILIANGDAJINGJITIZAI2020NIANNEIDATISHANGFENGPINGLANGJING,TELANGPUHUIFOUJIECIJIHUIZAIQITALINGYU、QITAQUYUXINGFENGZUOLANG,RENMENYEBUDEERZHI。

    QICI,2020NIANXINNIANYISHI,ZHONGDONGJIUBAOFAJILIEDEDIYUANZHENGZHIWEIJI,ERZAIQUANQIUFANWEINEI“JIJINHUANBAO”ZHUZHANGDUINENGYUANCHANYEJIEGOUDECHONGJIYEYUYANYULIE,ZHEIXIEDOUSHIBIJIQUANQIUZONGTIJINGJI、DUIXIANGGUANDIQUHEJINGJITIJINGJIZENGSUGOUCHENGGENGDUOBIANSHU,ERSHIXINGDUICIDEFENXI,SIHUQIANCHANGZHEZHI,JINXIANYULVEWEIDIAOGAODUIGEBIENENGYUANGONGYINGGUOJINGJIZENGSUDEYUQI。

    ZUIHOU,ZAI“ZHENGZHIZHENGCEYINSUYINGXIANG”FANGMIAN,SHIXINGDEBIAOCHISIHU“ZOUWEIPIAOHU”,RUTAXINMUZHONG“YONGYUANDESANHAOSHENG”YINDU,CIKEZHENGBAOSHOU“MODIJINGJIXUE”SHILINGHE《GONGMINFAXIUZHENGAN》XIUGAIYINFAQUANGUOSAOLUANDEKUNRAO,JICHUSHESHIQIANZHANGGUODUO、TOUZIHUANJINGBUWENDENG“LAODANAN”WENTIYEWEIJIANGAISHAN;ERBEITAJITUODAIDONGQUANQIUXINXINGJINGJITIZENGZHANGHOUWANGDETUERQI,JINQIPENGSHANGDEYOUQIZHI“ZHENGCEMAFAN”?

    JIANYUCI,WOMENKEDATISHOUKENSHIXINGDUI2020NIANQUANQIUJINGJI“JINSHEN、LVEBEIGUAN”DEYUQI,DANJUTIDAOTEDINGQUYUHEJINGJITI,ZEWEIBIDOUNENGGOUTONG。

    三d基本走势图30期ZHIDEGUANZHUDESHIZHONGGUO。QUANQIUJINGJIDAHUANJINGJIUZAIZHEILIFANGZHE,JINPINGZHONGGUOYIJIAHENNANQUANMIANGAIBIAN,ZHONGGUOKEYIZUODE,YISHITONGGUOZIJINULI,LISUONENGJIDIZHENGQUQUANQIUJINGJIHUANJING“DAQIHOU”DEGENGDUONUANYI;ERSHIBAOCHIHELIZHENGCEDEWENDINGXING,ZHIDINGJINSHEN、WENTUO、DELIDEYINGDUICUOSHI,RANGZHONGGUOZISHENJINGJIHUANJINGDE“XIAOQIHOU”SIJICHANGCHUN。


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